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Complex Systems

Markets, organizations, and societies are complex systems: their behavior emerges from interactions, feedback, and adaptation, rather than from any single part.

I explore technological, economic, and political change through this lens, drawing on game theory, behavioral economics, psychology, data, AI, and history.

The Complex Perspective series

From my 2016 book to interactive explorations, a 2036 outlook, and a practical guide: four ways to explore and apply the complexity lens.

The Complex Perspective — an interactive web experience on complexity science, networks, and agent-based modeling

An interactive successor to the 2016 book The Complex Perspective: thirteen modules applying complexity science, networks, and agent-based modeling to economics, society, politics, and AI.

The Complex Perspective: 2036 — six invariants that stay valuable when machines think, each with a mechanism and a toy

What still matters when machines think: six skills AI makes more valuable, each argued from a present-day mechanism and playable as a toy. Every claim is marked Anchored, Projection, or Cinema, so you always know when it turns to speculation.

Complex Perspective · How-to — putting the complexity lens to work in politics, companies, and your own life

How to actually use the complexity lens: concrete moves for politics, large and small companies, and your own life — against the grain of command-and-control culture, plan worship, and fear of failure.

Simulations

Vibe coded simulations

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Interactive simulations based on chapter 2 of the book (2016)

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Standalone websites built with AI, one complex-systems topic per site:

Knowledge in Society — an interactive essay in four acts on Hayek's knowledge problem and AI

An interactive essay on Hayek’s 1945 “The Use of Knowledge in Society” — and whether transformative AI changes the answer. Eleven stations of games and simulations let you feel the knowledge problem instead of only reading about it.

The Watercourse Way — a systems reading of Lao Tzu's Tao Te Ching

Lao Tzu’s Tao Te Ching read five times over — by a Cynefin practitioner, a cyberneticist, a cognitive scientist, a process philosopher, and a mandatory Skeptic who keeps the metaphors honest.

Articles about Complex Systems

Aug 08, 2011 science

Review of 'Complexity - A Guided Tour'

“Complexity - A Guided Tour” is a worthwhile and interesting introduction. “Complexity” is a cross-disciplinary topic that permeates many fields, such as biology (immune system, brain, evolution), economics, computer science,...

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