The Great Plot Twist

2Marx's Revenge

The case that twentieth-century socialism jumped the queue — made by a Marxist economist, from a red leather bench in the House of Lords.

If the necessary-stage reading of Marx sounds like a convenient invention for this essay, meet the man who staked his scholarly reputation on it. Meghnad Desai (1940–2025) was about as credentialed as a Marxist can get: an economist at the London School of Economics from 1965, Professor of Economics from 1983, author of Marxian Economic Theory and Marxian Economics, and from 1991 a Labour life peer — Baron Desai, seated in the House of Lords. In 2002, Verso — the flagship press of the anglophone left — published his book Marx's Revenge.

Verso's own catalogue copy states the thesis without flinching: Desai "argues that capitalism's recent efflorescence is something Karl Marx anticipated and indeed would, in a certain sense, have welcomed. Capitalism, as Marx understood it, would only reach its limits when it was no longer capable of progress." The book's core line arrives on page nine:

But Marx had the last laugh… Capitalism would not go away until after it had exhausted its potential.

Meghnad Desai, Marx's Revenge, p. 9, Verso, 2002 · source

The startling part

Desai's most provocative claim concerns what Marx supposedly wanted done in the meantime — and it is close to nothing:

Marx did not advocate the nationalisation of industries or a replacement of the market by central planning. He did not look to the state, even a 'Socialist state,' to alleviate the conditions of the workers.

Meghnad Desai, Marx's Revenge, p. 9 · source

On this reading, the Soviet experiment was "Socialism outside Capitalism" — an attempt made before capitalism had exhausted itself, and therefore doomed by Marx's own 1859 law. Reviewers rendered the thesis crisply. Andrew Glyn and Bob Sutcliffe: "Marx's revenge… is on those of his professed followers who have misinterpreted his arguments about capitalism as intimations to overthrow, or at least profoundly transform, it prematurely." Will Hutton, more bluntly: "Marx, if we did but know it, is the prophet and advocate of globalization." Globalization, for Desai, was not capitalism's decadence. It was proof the system could still move forward — which, by the stage logic, means its supersession is not yet due.

One sourcing note, kept honest: the "socialism came too early" framing is Desai's clear thesis as rendered by his reviewers; no verified verbatim sentence of his uses the words "came too early" or "Lenin's mistake." The p. 9 lines above are the anchored quotes. Details

Everyone was annoyed, which is a good sign

The book managed the rare feat of irritating both flanks at once. From the libertarian right, David Gordon of the Mises Institute grasped the logic and needled it: "In order to bring capitalism to an end, it must be developed as much as possible. Hence a socialist must be, for the indefinite future, a supporter of capitalism." From the Marxist left, Mick Brooks filed it under the "'Marx was wrong' industry" and went after the details. Academic reviews ran in the Journal of International Development, the British Journal of Industrial Relations, and the Review of Radical Political Economics. Whatever else it was, the argument was taken seriously.

The older quarrel underneath

Desai was reopening a wound the left has carried since the 1890s. Eduard Bernstein's Evolutionary Socialism argued that socialism would arrive gradually, through unions, reforms, and democracy. Rosa Luxemburg's Reform or Revolution (1899) answered that reforms — useful as they are for building class consciousness — "cannot create a socialist society," because they operate inside capitalism and adapt it. Reform, in her account, is how capitalism absorbs its opposition.

The state saw it the same way, from the other side of the barricade. Otto von Bismarck banned the socialist movement in 1878 and then built the world's first welfare state — health insurance in 1883, accident insurance in 1884, old-age pensions in 1889 — explicitly to take the wind out of socialism's sails. Welfare as counter-revolution, by design. (History filed its own footnote: a 2025 study by Felix Kersting finds the insured workers increased their socialist vote, with a one-standard-deviation rise in newly insured workers explaining around 80% of the socialist party's average gain between adjacent elections. Bismarck's stabilizer partly backfired. Source)

A century later the argument returned wearing new clothes. Left accelerationists — Nick Srnicek and Alex Williams in the #ACCELERATE manifesto (2013) and Inventing the Future (2015), Aaron Bastani in Fully Automated Luxury Communism (2019) — told the left to stop resisting automation and start demanding it: post-work, universal basic income, the productive forces unleashed. On the other political shore, Nick Land drew the mirror conclusion, welcoming capitalism as a self-propelling techno-intelligence and jeering that "the anti-capitalist Left are now the conservatives." When Desai, Luxemburg, the accelerationists, and Bismarck's own legislative record all converge on the same structural point — that softening capitalism prolongs it — the point has earned a hearing.

What none of them had was a date for the exhaustion. For that, the twenty-first century supplied an entirely different cast of characters: engineers with slide decks.